Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 12:30, is the safest bet: 78% chance of reaching Spokane on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1381 American Flight history →	DFW 10:11	GEG 12:05	20%	7%	0.6%	75%
AA 2757 American	DFW 18:37	GEG 20:29	31%	11%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276	2h 56m Minneapolis	MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437	8h 26m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	1h 16m Atlanta	ATL 09:50 → GEG 11:29DL 814	8h 09m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	1h 59m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 27m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	DFW 13:50 → ATL 17:14DL 414	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 19:45 → GEG 21:32DL 1843	9h 42m	97%	82%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798	3h 12m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:32 → GEG 18:21DL 1219	7h 51m	99%	82%
Alaska Details →	DFW 06:24 → SEA 08:45AS 543	1h 10m Seattle	SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon	6h 36m	91%	82%
American Details →	DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474	2h 48m Phoenix	PHX 10:22 → GEG 13:21AA 540	8h 13m	98%	81%
Alaska Details →	DFW 09:00 → SEA 11:20AS 365	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	8h 25m	99%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON