Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: AA 2548 at 10:41 is the safest bet, 15% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 30%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2548 American Flight history →	DFW 10:41	PSP 11:50	15%	5%	1.0%	68%
AA 2709 American Flight history →	DFW 19:35	PSP 20:36	30%	7%	1.1%	61%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 2 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	1h 14m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → PSP 11:41DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest	5h 56m	95%	90%
Delta Details →	DFW 12:30 → SLC 14:20DL 2798	1h 20m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:40 → PSP 16:33DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest	6h 03m	95%	88%
United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:54UA 773	1h 06m Denver	DEN 08:00 → PSP 09:18UA 614	5h 33m	97%	87%
American Details →	DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474	3h 04m Phoenix	PHX 10:38 → PSP 11:58AA 1884	6h 50m	99%	81%
Alaska Details →	DFW 06:24 → SEA 08:45AS 543	1h 20m Seattle	SEA 10:05 → PSP 12:40AS 1494	8h 16m	93%	69%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON