tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4894 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 20:10 CHA 22:02 22% 13% 0.8% 78%
DL 5117 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record DTW 12:25 CHA 14:14 24% 12% 0.3% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737 6h 05m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 13:13 → CHA 14:02DL 3141 6h 42m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 19:36 → CHA 20:33DL 1722 5h 34m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DTW 12:25 → ATL 14:20DL 2188 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 16:49 → CHA 17:46DL 3124 5h 21m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 1h 10m Atlanta ATL 08:20 → CHA 09:19DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor 4h 02m 97% 85%
AmericanDetails → DTW 14:59 → CLT 16:57AA 1683 3h 27m Charlotte CLT 20:24 → CHA 21:52AA 5787 · flown by Piedmont 6h 53m 100% 78%
AmericanDetails → DTW 07:00 → CLT 08:54AA 1439 2h 31m Charlotte CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont 5h 54m 98% 78%
AmericanDetails → DTW 10:59 → CLT 12:56AA 2582 1h 44m Charlotte CLT 14:40 → CHA 16:08AA 6051 · flown by Piedmont 5h 09m 96% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → DTW 16:24 → ORD 16:48UA 4673 · flown by SkyWest 1h 02m Chicago ORD 17:50 → CHA 20:49UA 4507 · flown by GoJet 4h 25m 72% 42%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON