Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4645 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	DTW 10:10	HPN 11:58	27%	13%	4.2%	73%
DL 4658 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	DTW 14:01	HPN 15:49	31%	16%	2.4%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach White Plains on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 09:39 → HPN 12:21DL 2973	7h 04m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 19:59 → HPN 22:25DL 1616	7h 26m	100%	87%
American Details →	DTW 08:24 → ORD 08:42AA 4013 · flown by Envoy	3h 59m Chicago	ORD 12:41 → HPN 15:59AA 4200 · flown by Envoy	7h 35m	100%	82%
American Details →	DTW 07:00 → CLT 08:54AA 1439	2h 12m Charlotte	CLT 11:06 → HPN 13:13AA 5180 · flown by PSA	6h 13m	97%	81%
American Details →	DTW 10:25 → ORD 10:48AA 6255 · flown by SkyWest	3h 07m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → HPN 17:15AA 4112 · flown by Envoy	6h 50m	100%	80%
American Details →	DTW 10:59 → CLT 12:56AA 2582	1h 53m Charlotte	CLT 14:49 → HPN 16:56AA 5606 · flown by PSA	5h 57m	96%	77%
Delta Details →	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	2h 52m Minneapolis	MSP 12:46 → HPN 16:30DL 4680 · flown by Endeavor	7h 30m	99%	77%
American Details →	DTW 16:16 → ORD 16:48AA 3980 · flown by Envoy	2h 51m Chicago	ORD 19:39 → HPN 22:59AA 3752 · flown by Envoy	6h 43m	92%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON