Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 1145 at 08:45, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1145 Delta Flight history →	DTW 08:45	MYR 10:39	8%	3%	0.6%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 06:17 → ATL 08:11DL 1611	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	6h 43m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 09:30 → MYR 10:47DL 3047	5h 30m	98%	87%
American Details →	DTW 06:02 → PHL 07:53AA 5414 · flown by PSA	1h 02m Philadelphia	PHL 08:55 → MYR 10:54AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont	4h 52m	100%	84%
American Details →	DTW 07:00 → CLT 08:54AA 1439	1h 19m Charlotte	CLT 10:13 → MYR 11:23AA 2431	4h 23m	94%	81%
Delta Details →	DTW 12:25 → ATL 14:20DL 2188	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093	6h 42m	99%	81%
American Details →	DTW 11:25 → PHL 13:16AA 5480 · flown by PSA	3h 03m Philadelphia	PHL 16:19 → MYR 18:20AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont	7h 02m	100%	78%
American Details →	DTW 14:59 → CLT 16:57AA 1683	3h 06m Charlotte	CLT 20:03 → MYR 21:13AA 1085	6h 14m	100%	77%
American Details →	DTW 10:59 → CLT 12:56AA 2582	2h 55m Charlotte	CLT 15:51 → MYR 17:01AA 2943	6h 02m	97%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON