Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2001 Delta	DTW 08:37	RSW 11:35	13%	3%	0.8%	no record
DL 1225 Delta Flight history →	DTW 14:28	RSW 17:22	17%	5%	0.8%	79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375	3h 15m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 54m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	7h 15m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	DTW 09:00 → MSP 09:54DL 2258	2h 58m Minneapolis	MSP 12:52 → RSW 17:19DL 2219	8h 19m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	DTW 07:01 → MSP 07:53DL 1746	1h 12m Minneapolis	MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400	6h 26m	96%	84%
Delta Details →	DTW 10:25 → ATL 12:19DL 2856	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	6h 19m	99%	84%
American Details →	DTW 06:02 → PHL 07:53AA 5414 · flown by PSA	3h 40m Philadelphia	PHL 11:33 → RSW 14:44AA 507	8h 42m	100%	81%
American Details →	DTW 07:00 → CLT 08:54AA 1439	3h 12m Charlotte	CLT 12:06 → RSW 14:14AA 2018	7h 14m	98%	81%
Delta Details →	DTW 14:59 → ATL 17:03DL 1983	2h 25m Atlanta	ATL 19:28 → RSW 21:13DL 1736	6h 14m	99%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DTW 16:05 → DFW 18:01AA 3310	50m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:51 → RSW 22:38AA 1267	6h 33m	73%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON