tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:17, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Syracuse on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DTW 05:17 → ATL 07:10DL 2375 2h 05m Atlanta ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375 6h 08m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → DTW 07:20 → ATL 09:18DL 965 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991 7h 28m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → DTW 10:25 → ATL 12:19DL 2856 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690 7h 34m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → DTW 10:14 → JFK 11:58DL 2751 2h 36m New York JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor 5h 57m 100% 80%
AmericanDetails → DTW 07:00 → CLT 08:54AA 1439 1h 45m Charlotte CLT 10:39 → SYR 12:42AA 2730 5h 42m 96% 80%
AmericanDetails → DTW 06:02 → PHL 07:53AA 5414 · flown by PSA 1h 04m Philadelphia PHL 08:57 → SYR 10:21AA 5982 · flown by Piedmont 4h 19m 100% 79%
UnitedDetails → DTW 11:00 → ORD 11:29UA 426 2h 26m Chicago ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343 5h 48m 98% 77%
AmericanDetails → DTW 14:59 → CLT 16:57AA 1683 1h 37m Charlotte CLT 18:34 → SYR 20:39AA 1946 5h 40m 96% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON