tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 4191 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record EWR 08:30 CAE 10:39 15% 5% 0.0% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353 1h 50m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → CAE 11:14DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor 5h 16m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 12:00 → CAE 12:59DL 2944 5h 54m 98% 89%
AmericanDetails → EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505 3h 10m Charlotte CLT 11:11 → CAE 12:20AA 5994 · flown by Piedmont 6h 20m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → EWR 08:30 → ATL 10:51DL 2365 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 14:05 → CAE 15:06DL 3193 6h 36m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → EWR 05:00 → CLT 06:57AA 1113 2h 38m Charlotte CLT 09:35 → CAE 10:44AA 6042 · flown by Piedmont 5h 44m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → EWR 10:31 → ATL 12:53DL 2325 3h 21m Atlanta ATL 16:14 → CAE 17:22DL 3032 6h 51m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → EWR 12:00 → ATL 14:30DL 2397 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 17:33 → CAE 18:41DL 2193 6h 41m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → EWR 15:21 → ATL 17:54DL 2312 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 20:07 → CAE 21:15DL 3008 5h 54m 91% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → EWR 16:29 → ATL 19:14DL 2322 53m Atlanta ATL 20:07 → CAE 21:15DL 3008 4h 46m 71% 61%
UnitedDetails → EWR 14:45 → ORD 16:28UA 2788 1h 22m Chicago ORD 17:50 → CAE 20:54UA 5594 · flown by SkyWest 6h 09m 74% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON