Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 4419 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record	EWR 14:39	CHA 17:02	30%	20%	2.8%	70%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chattanooga on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	EWR 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2353	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 11:33 → CHA 12:22DL 1737	6h 22m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	EWR 07:05 → ATL 09:20DL 1673	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 13:13 → CHA 14:02DL 3141	6h 57m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	EWR 10:31 → ATL 12:53DL 2325	3h 56m Atlanta	ATL 16:49 → CHA 17:46DL 3124	7h 15m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 19:36 → CHA 20:33DL 1722	7h 04m	99%	87%
United Details →	EWR 06:00 → ORD 07:42UA 530	2h 43m Chicago	ORD 10:25 → CHA 13:16UA 4543 · flown by GoJet	7h 16m	98%	84%
American Details →	EWR 06:00 → CLT 08:01AA 2505	3h 24m Charlotte	CLT 11:25 → CHA 12:54AA 6127 · flown by Piedmont	6h 54m	97%	77%
United Details →	EWR 07:59 → IAH 10:44UA 332	2h 06m Houston	IAH 12:50 → CHA 16:03UA 5091 · flown by SkyWest	8h 04m	96%	77%
American Details →	EWR 12:23 → DFW 15:01AA 1796	1h 40m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:41 → CHA 19:48AA 5471 · flown by PSA	7h 25m	92%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	EWR 13:29 → ATL 16:00DL 2401	49m Atlanta	ATL 16:49 → CHA 17:46DL 3124	4h 17m	74%	65%
United Details →	EWR 14:45 → ORD 16:28UA 2788	1h 22m Chicago	ORD 17:50 → CHA 20:49UA 4507 · flown by GoJet	6h 04m	74%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON