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Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via LaGuardia, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 78% chance of reaching Albany on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
G4 507 Allegiant FLL 07:42 ALB 11:04 10% 5% 0.8% no record
B6 88 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 19:55 ALB 23:18 37% 17% 1.3% 67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137 5h 59m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:06AA 1474 2h 18m Charlotte CLT 10:24 → ALB 12:46AA 710 6h 49m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:45DL 1241 7h 49m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 1h 48m Detroit DTW 10:44 → ALB 12:27DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 6h 27m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → FLL 12:13 → IAD 14:49UA 1421 2h 40m Dulles IAD 17:29 → ALB 19:08UA 4926 · flown by CommuteAir 6h 55m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → FLL 12:26 → ORD 14:55UA 1755 3h 15m Chicago ORD 18:10 → ALB 21:14UA 1382 8h 48m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → FLL 08:57 → CLT 11:07AA 2087 3h 07m Charlotte CLT 14:14 → ALB 16:36AA 1075 7h 39m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2133 49m New York LGA 10:46 → ALB 11:51DL 5268 · flown by Endeavor 4h 51m 87% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON