Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 460 at 20:55, with a 37% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 460 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 20:55	BDL 23:59	37%	17%	1.1%	63%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hartford on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 34m Detroit	DTW 10:30 → BDL 12:13DL 2163	6h 13m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	1h 55m Atlanta	ATL 10:22 → BDL 12:45DL 1082	6h 12m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	59m Atlanta	ATL 08:10 → BDL 10:30DL 2951	5h 07m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 08m Atlanta	ATL 13:56 → BDL 16:16DL 2739	6h 20m	99%	85%
American Details →	FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:06AA 1474	3h 58m Charlotte	CLT 12:04 → BDL 14:17AA 2741	8h 20m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 15:34 → BDL 17:59DL 2735	6h 55m	98%	81%
American Details →	FLL 06:57 → PHL 09:54AA 2089	2h 57m Philadelphia	PHL 12:51 → BDL 14:11AA 6035 · flown by Piedmont	7h 14m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 18:56 → BDL 21:19DL 2504	7h 51m	100%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON