Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 1130 at 15:55, with a 29% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1130 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 15:55	CHS 17:39	29%	11%	0.9%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 49m Atlanta	ATL 09:00 → CHS 10:13DL 3091	4h 50m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	5h 27m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	5h 57m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	2h 58m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → CHS 13:42DL 2179	6h 02m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 19:27 → CHS 20:42DL 2493	7h 14m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 15:59 → CHS 17:16DL 2174	6h 12m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 09m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → CHS 12:20DL 5431 · flown by Endeavor	6h 20m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 17:39 → CHS 18:54DL 3179	6h 46m	99%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON