Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 1635 at 20:31, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1635 Southwest	FLL 20:31	CMH 23:14	24%	8%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → CMH 11:48DL 1522	6h 25m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750	7h 05m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 19m Detroit	DTW 10:15 → CMH 11:23DL 5810 · flown by Republic	5h 23m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 14:21 → CMH 16:03DL 2892	6h 07m	99%	90%
United Details →	FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314	3h 30m Houston	IAH 12:15 → CMH 16:05UA 4072 · flown by Mesa	9h 05m	99%	87%
American Details →	FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:06AA 1474	2h 24m Charlotte	CLT 10:30 → CMH 11:59AA 2180	6h 02m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 25m Atlanta	ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786	6h 55m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	2h 51m Atlanta	ATL 20:33 → CMH 22:15DL 1501	6h 43m	98%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON