tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 11:04, is the safest bet: 73% chance of reaching Indianapolis on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1413 Southwest FLL 16:31 IND 19:23 22% 7% 0.7% no record
G4 518 Allegiant FLL 17:32 IND 20:25 30% 14% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 09:03 → IND 10:33DL 2952 5h 10m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 38m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013 6h 03m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314 3h 10m Houston IAH 11:55 → IND 15:25UA 1687 8h 25m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 00m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → IND 15:19DL 3134 5h 23m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 17:27 → IND 19:07DL 3120 6h 59m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 20:51 → IND 22:27DL 1482 6h 55m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:00 → LGA 09:57DL 2133 1h 48m New York LGA 11:45 → IND 14:06DL 5642 · flown by Republic 7h 06m 97% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 13:28 → ATL 15:32DL 1512 2h 03m Atlanta ATL 17:35 → IND 19:10DL 2979 5h 42m 96% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON