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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 2118 at 13:20, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 2118 JetBlue Flight history → FLL 13:20 JAX 14:40 25% 13% 2.1% 68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Jacksonville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 14m Atlanta ATL 08:25 → JAX 09:36DL 2326 4h 13m 97% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 13:57 → JAX 15:09DL 2990 5h 13m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 3h 04m Atlanta ATL 12:37 → JAX 13:45DL 3024 6h 05m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → JAX 16:27DL 2720 5h 23m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 17:51 → JAX 19:13DL 2189 7h 05m 99% 81%
DeltaDetails → FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → JAX 21:13DL 2265 6h 43m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 2h 21m Atlanta ATL 10:48 → JAX 12:00DL 2923 5h 27m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → FLL 07:44 → CLT 09:53AA 2087 2h 48m Charlotte CLT 12:41 → JAX 14:09AA 1466 6h 25m 97% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON