Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 2679 at 07:26, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2679 Southwest	FLL 07:26	MCI 09:45	5%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Kansas City is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 19m Atlanta	ATL 08:30 → MCI 09:38DL 2471	5h 15m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	1h 33m Atlanta	ATL 10:00 → MCI 11:11DL 2908	5h 38m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	3h 29m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → MCI 13:24DL 2741	8h 24m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	3h 51m Atlanta	ATL 13:24 → MCI 14:29DL 1443	7h 49m	99%	86%
United Details →	FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:18UA 1311	3h 22m Denver	DEN 13:40 → MCI 16:22UA 586	9h 22m	99%	85%
United Details →	FLL 09:00 → IAH 10:45UA 722	3h 50m Houston	IAH 14:35 → MCI 16:47UA 3987 · flown by Mesa	8h 47m	99%	85%
United Details →	FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314	3h 20m Houston	IAH 12:05 → MCI 14:15UA 6152 · flown by Mesa	8h 15m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → MCI 16:30DL 1660	7h 34m	99%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON