Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Hebron, leaving 15:55, is the safest bet: 75% chance of reaching Minneapolis on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 673 Delta Flight history → FLL 14:47 MSP 17:39 11% 5% 0.7% 72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168 1h 33m Atlanta ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960 5h 55m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215 1h 28m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090 5h 57m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 7h 10m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → FLL 07:06 → JFK 10:00DL 2165 1h 35m New York JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414 7h 44m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:18UA 1311 3h 24m Denver DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732 9h 46m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631 3h 24m Detroit DTW 12:20 → MSP 13:10DL 2697 8h 10m 100% 87%
DeltaDetails → FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825 7h 10m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654 8h 14m 99% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON