Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 1800 at 20:30, with a 26% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1800 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 20:30	ORF 22:52	26%	12%	1.5%	74%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Norfolk on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 09:46 → ORF 11:28DL 2755	6h 05m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 07:40 → ATL 09:33DL 1326	2h 55m Atlanta	ATL 12:28 → ORF 14:16DL 2925	6h 36m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	1h 07m Detroit	DTW 10:03 → ORF 11:58DL 3066	5h 58m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 22m Atlanta	ATL 14:10 → ORF 15:50DL 1101	5h 54m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 00m Atlanta	ATL 20:42 → ORF 22:30DL 2731	6h 58m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:30 → ATL 16:34DL 2063	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 19:54 → ORF 21:42DL 2984	7h 12m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	3h 07m Atlanta	ATL 17:07 → ORF 18:54DL 1346	6h 46m	99%	83%
American Details →	FLL 07:44 → CLT 09:53AA 2087	2h 51m Charlotte	CLT 12:44 → ORF 14:10AA 2911	6h 26m	97%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON