Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 27–29% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 1930 Southwest	FLL 19:56	PIT 22:47	27%	9%	0.7%	no record
B6 2008 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 20:39	PIT 23:33	29%	14%	0.9%	58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → PIT 10:45DL 1363	5h 22m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	6h 19m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	2h 20m Atlanta	ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353	5h 54m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	FLL 15:32 → ATL 17:42DL 1341	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 21:14 → PIT 23:00DL 2583	7h 28m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:04 → ATL 12:54DL 1094	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568	6h 04m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 16:57 → PIT 18:47DL 3122	6h 39m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 14:47 → MSP 17:39DL 673	2h 11m Minneapolis	MSP 19:50 → PIT 22:52DL 1134	8h 05m	97%	84%
United Details →	FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314	3h 15m Houston	IAH 12:00 → PIT 15:56UA 315	8h 56m	99%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON