Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:23, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 745 Delta Flight history →	FLL 18:40	SLC 21:38	20%	7%	0.6%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 47m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:33 → ATL 08:27DL 1215	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	9h 17m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	3h 24m Detroit	DTW 12:20 → SLC 14:11DL 935	10h 11m	100%	86%
United Details →	FLL 07:00 → IAH 08:45UA 2314	1h 17m Houston	IAH 10:02 → SLC 12:37UA 2242	7h 37m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	FLL 12:08 → ATL 14:00DL 1271	4h 00m Atlanta	ATL 18:00 → SLC 20:02DL 653	9h 54m	99%	85%
American Details →	FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:06AA 1474	2h 08m Charlotte	CLT 10:14 → SLC 12:29AA 1895	8h 32m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 15:20 → SLC 17:18DL 526	9h 22m	99%	85%
United Details →	FLL 08:00 → DEN 10:18UA 1311	3h 22m Denver	DEN 13:40 → SLC 15:13UA 1840	9h 13m	99%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON