Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 33–35% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 1738 JetBlue Flight history →	FLL 14:49	SYR 18:06	33%	11%	1.0%	75%
G4 530 Allegiant Flight history →	FLL 14:41	SYR 17:51	35%	15%	1.0%	44%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	FLL 06:00 → DTW 08:56DL 2631	2h 31m Detroit	DTW 11:27 → SYR 12:56DL 5533 · flown by Endeavor	6h 56m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	FLL 05:23 → ATL 07:11DL 1168	2h 04m Atlanta	ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375	6h 02m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	FLL 08:24 → ATL 10:23DL 1326	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991	6h 24m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	FLL 09:56 → ATL 11:48DL 1334	3h 55m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 03m	99%	84%
American Details →	FLL 05:57 → CLT 08:06AA 1474	2h 33m Charlotte	CLT 10:39 → SYR 12:42AA 2730	6h 45m	98%	82%
United Details →	FLL 12:26 → ORD 14:55UA 1755	3h 14m Chicago	ORD 18:09 → SYR 21:09UA 2481	8h 43m	98%	79%
American Details →	FLL 08:57 → CLT 11:07AA 2087	2h 43m Charlotte	CLT 13:50 → SYR 15:54AA 1950	6h 57m	96%	76%
Delta Details →	FLL 11:29 → LGA 14:24DL 2465	1h 14m New York	LGA 15:38 → SYR 16:51DL 5388 · flown by Endeavor	5h 22m	87%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	FLL 15:14 → DFW 17:25AA 1390	1h 08m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:33 → SYR 22:55AA 421	7h 41m	62%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON