Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Atlanta on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 814 Delta	GEG 12:38	ATL 20:09	12%	2%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Spokane). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	GEG 05:20 → SLC 08:02DL 1440	1h 53m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835	7h 19m	98%	89%
United Details →	GEG 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 1234	1h 55m Denver	DEN 10:15 → ATL 15:30UA 2806	7h 30m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	GEG 07:00 → MSP 11:52DL 1615	53m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → ATL 16:22DL 1048	6h 22m	92%	83%
Alaska Details →	GEG 05:00 → PDX 06:10AS 710	1h 20m Portland	PDX 07:30 → ATL 15:15AS 784	7h 15m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	GEG 06:20 → LAX 09:13DL 3696 · flown by SkyWest	1h 47m Los Angeles	LAX 11:00 → ATL 18:37DL 528	9h 17m	97%	81%
American Details →	GEG 05:16 → DFW 10:55AA 484	1h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:09 → ATL 15:39AA 1008	7h 23m	96%	80%
Delta Details →	GEG 05:25 → SEA 06:40DL 2218	2h 21m Seattle	SEA 09:01 → ATL 17:03DL 560	8h 38m	96%	79%
Alaska Details →	GEG 11:40 → SEA 12:50AS 2262 · flown by Horizon	3h 15m Seattle	SEA 16:05 → ATL 23:59AS 727	9h 19m	100%	77%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON