Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 5958 American flown by Piedmont no forecast: 12-month record	GSO 06:07	PHL 07:39	10%	5%	2.2%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Philadelphia on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	GSO 05:25 → ATL 06:38DL 3018	2h 17m Atlanta	ATL 08:55 → PHL 10:57DL 2270	5h 32m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	GSO 06:35 → ATL 07:56DL 3004	3h 36m Atlanta	ATL 11:32 → PHL 13:43DL 8885	7h 08m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	GSO 06:00 → DTW 07:45DL 5088 · flown by Endeavor	2h 25m Detroit	DTW 10:10 → PHL 11:46DL 2331	5h 46m	96%	86%
American Details →	GSO 06:13 → CLT 07:12AA 1078	2h 30m Charlotte	CLT 09:42 → PHL 11:35AA 2565	5h 22m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	GSO 16:15 → ATL 17:38DL 2539	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 20:23 → PHL 22:33DL 1174	6h 18m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	GSO 10:14 → ATL 11:31DL 3173	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 14:00 → PHL 16:04DL 1692	5h 50m	99%	83%
American Details →	GSO 09:00 → CLT 10:21AA 5793 · flown by Piedmont	2h 41m Charlotte	CLT 13:02 → PHL 14:50AA 2573	5h 50m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	GSO 08:14 → ATL 09:37DL 1085	1h 44m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → PHL 13:24DL 2279	5h 10m	94%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	GSO 16:11 → CLT 17:20AA 5797 · flown by Piedmont	54m Charlotte	CLT 18:14 → PHL 20:15AA 423	4h 04m	63%	50%
American Details →	GSO 14:10 → ORD 15:13AA 4144 · flown by Envoy	49m Chicago	ORD 16:02 → PHL 19:18AA 1393	5h 08m	64%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON