tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1954 Southwest GSP 08:26 BWI 10:17 4% 2% 0.7% no record
WN 2872 Southwest GSP 14:11 BWI 16:02 8% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → GSP 05:44 → ATL 06:43DL 3028 2h 12m Atlanta ATL 08:55 → BWI 10:47DL 801 5h 03m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → GSP 06:45 → ATL 07:48DL 1146 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → BWI 13:01DL 2711 6h 16m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → GSP 07:10 → DTW 08:57DL 876 1h 18m Detroit DTW 10:15 → BWI 11:47DL 1546 4h 37m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → GSP 10:03 → ATL 11:04DL 3089 2h 58m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799 5h 50m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → GSP 11:12 → DTW 13:04DL 5195 · flown by Endeavor 2h 01m Detroit DTW 15:05 → BWI 16:41DL 2480 5h 29m 96% 84%
DeltaDetails → GSP 13:09 → ATL 14:14DL 1725 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 17:59 → BWI 20:04DL 2928 6h 55m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → GSP 11:42 → ATL 12:45DL 2158 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 15:20 → BWI 17:15DL 1267 5h 33m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → GSP 09:00 → CLT 10:16AA 5381 · flown by PSA 2h 11m Charlotte CLT 12:27 → BWI 14:10AA 2733 5h 10m 95% 81%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → GSP 16:07 → CLT 17:23AA 6131 · flown by Piedmont 53m Charlotte CLT 18:16 → BWI 19:56AA 2855 3h 49m 66% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON