Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 2025 at 17:51, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2025 Southwest	HOU 17:51	CMH 21:34	19%	4%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750	6h 38m	100%	91%
Southwest Details →	HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4	2h 46m Dallas	DAL 10:56 → CMH 14:29WN 4746	6h 29m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786	7h 23m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:34DL 1195	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 20:33 → CMH 22:15DL 1501	6h 51m	98%	86%
American Details →	HOU 14:23 → DFW 15:43AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	1h 46m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:29 → CMH 21:08AA 1348	5h 45m	85%	62%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON