tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 1296 at 19:02, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1296 Southwest HOU 19:02 COS 20:21 21% 7% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → HOU 05:53 → DAL 07:07WN 1636 2h 09m Dallas DAL 09:16 → COS 10:17WN 551 5h 24m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 11:30 → COS 12:32DL 2427 7h 32m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:34DL 1195 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 19:59 → COS 21:07DL 971 7h 43m 97% 79%
AmericanDetails → HOU 09:32 → DFW 10:49AA 4036 · flown by Envoy 3h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:55 → COS 15:02AA 1170 6h 30m 100% 71%
AmericanDetails → HOU 14:23 → DFW 15:43AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 1h 44m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 5h 11m 85% 60%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON