Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 1596 at 10:01, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1596 Southwest	HOU 10:01	FLL 13:36	13%	3%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	5h 23m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:34DL 1195	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489	6h 32m	97%	77%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	2h 53m Atlanta	ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295	7h 00m	99%	77%
American Details →	HOU 09:32 → DFW 10:49AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	1h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:37 → FLL 16:38AA 1373	6h 06m	94%	73%
Southwest Details →	HOU 10:01 → DAL 11:15WN 16	3h 21m Dallas	DAL 14:36 → FLL 18:30WN 284	7h 29m	100%	72%
American Details →	HOU 14:23 → DFW 15:43AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	3h 27m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:10 → FLL 23:21AA 1847	7h 58m	93%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON