Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 1788 at 08:06, with a 3% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1788 Southwest	HOU 08:06	OMA 10:27	3%	1%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 21m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	6h 45m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	7h 08m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:34DL 1195	1h 56m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707	6h 30m	95%	80%
American Details →	HOU 09:32 → DFW 10:49AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	3h 04m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:53 → OMA 15:54AA 2269	6h 22m	100%	77%
Southwest Details →	HOU 13:30 → DAL 14:40WN 30	3h 56m Dallas	DAL 18:36 → OMA 20:34WN 2706	7h 04m	100%	77%
American Details →	HOU 14:23 → DFW 15:43AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	1h 28m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:11 → OMA 19:11AA 2270	4h 48m	82%	59%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON