Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 2147 at 14:56, with a 22% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2147 Southwest	HOU 14:56	PIT 18:57	22%	6%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	2h 05m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	5h 52m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:34DL 1195	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 21:14 → PIT 23:00DL 2583	7h 36m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	3h 11m Atlanta	ATL 16:57 → PIT 18:47DL 3122	7h 07m	99%	85%
Southwest Details →	HOU 12:01 → DAL 13:15WN 24	2h 26m Dallas	DAL 15:41 → PIT 19:30WN 555	6h 29m	98%	75%
American Details →	HOU 14:23 → DFW 15:43AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	2h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:55 → PIT 21:48AA 680	6h 25m	90%	64%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON