tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1580 Southwest HOU 10:01 SAT 11:09 5% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 2121 Southwest HOU 15:06 SAT 16:14 11% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → HOU 07:00 → DAL 08:10WN 4 2h 27m Dallas DAL 10:37 → SAT 11:54WN 2855 4h 54m 100% 93%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 08:00 → DAL 09:10WN 8 3h 42m Dallas DAL 12:52 → SAT 14:10WN 1230 6h 10m 100% 90%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 10:01 → DAL 11:15WN 16 2h 52m Dallas DAL 14:07 → SAT 15:25WN 2937 5h 24m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → HOU 12:01 → DAL 13:15WN 24 2h 47m Dallas DAL 16:02 → SAT 17:20WN 2671 5h 19m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 15:40 → SAT 17:11DL 1465 6h 31m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → HOU 09:32 → DFW 10:49AA 4036 · flown by Envoy 3h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:52 → SAT 15:15AA 791 5h 43m 100% 81%
AmericanDetails → HOU 14:23 → DFW 15:43AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest 1h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:24 → SAT 18:37AA 3899 · flown by Envoy 4h 14m 84% 70%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON