Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 1155 at 15:41, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1155 Southwest	HOU 15:41	VPS 17:30	15%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Valparaiso on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HOU 06:00 → ATL 09:05DL 2557	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 10:44 → VPS 11:00DL 2048	5h 00m	98%	92%
Southwest Details →	HOU 05:53 → DAL 07:07WN 1636	2h 49m Dallas	DAL 09:56 → VPS 11:57WN 1481	6h 04m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	HOU 10:40 → ATL 13:46DL 1509	1h 58m Atlanta	ATL 15:44 → VPS 16:00DL 2170	5h 20m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	HOU 14:24 → ATL 17:33DL 1195	3h 02m Atlanta	ATL 20:35 → VPS 20:49DL 882	6h 25m	98%	89%
American Details →	HOU 09:32 → DFW 10:49AA 4036 · flown by Envoy	2h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:20 → VPS 15:29AA 2501	5h 57m	100%	75%
American Details →	HOU 14:22 → DFW 15:42AA 6413 · flown by SkyWest	3h 24m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:06 → VPS 21:11AA 1201	6h 49m	93%	65%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON