Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 813 at 09:49, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 813 JetBlue Flight history →	HPN 09:49	FLL 12:48	13%	5%	0.8%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HPN 05:54 → ATL 08:11DL 2379	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 29m	98%	86%
American Details →	HPN 07:55 → CLT 09:57AA 5403 · flown by PSA	53m Charlotte	CLT 10:50 → FLL 12:57AA 2585	5h 02m	90%	76%
Delta Details →	HPN 10:25 → ATL 12:46DL 4930 · flown by Endeavor	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 15:25 → FLL 17:23DL 2345	6h 58m	99%	70%
Delta Details →	HPN 12:50 → ATL 15:09DL 2973	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295	5h 50m	96%	68%
Delta Details →	HPN 17:18 → DTW 19:05DL 4643 · flown by Endeavor	1h 00m Detroit	DTW 20:05 → FLL 23:06DL 2296	5h 48m	84%	63%
Delta Details →	HPN 12:37 → DTW 14:23DL 4645 · flown by Endeavor	1h 33m Detroit	DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037	6h 23m	93%	62%
American Details →	HPN 12:00 → ORD 13:38AA 3812 · flown by Envoy	3h 27m Chicago	ORD 17:05 → FLL 21:13AA 2881	9h 13m	99%	61%
American Details →	HPN 11:02 → CLT 12:53AA 5431 · flown by PSA	2h 32m Charlotte	CLT 15:25 → FLL 17:34AA 2397	6h 32m	96%	58%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON