Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 11–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 4640 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	HSV 08:00	DEN 10:20	11%	5%	0.6%	89%
UA 5393 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	HSV 15:35	DEN 17:55	13%	5%	0.6%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Huntsville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	HSV 07:12 → ATL 09:17DL 3009	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957	7h 48m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	HSV 05:30 → ATL 07:31DL 2556	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995	6h 35m	97%	86%
United Details →	HSV 08:05 → IAD 11:11UA 4240 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 24m Dulles	IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126	9h 24m	99%	85%
United Details →	HSV 06:44 → IAH 08:50UA 4299 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 43m Houston	IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168	8h 33m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	HSV 08:50 → ATL 10:50DL 3036	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530	7h 08m	100%	84%
United Details →	HSV 09:10 → IAH 11:15UA 4269 · flown by CommuteAir	3h 45m Houston	IAH 15:00 → DEN 16:43UA 2767	8h 33m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	HSV 06:00 → DTW 08:58DL 5382 · flown by Endeavor	3h 44m Detroit	DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648	8h 45m	98%	83%
Delta Details →	HSV 12:35 → ATL 14:41DL 2182	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519	6h 21m	97%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	HSV 12:57 → ORD 15:10UA 4469 · flown by GoJet	1h 02m Chicago	ORD 16:12 → DEN 18:13UA 2769	6h 16m	69%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON