Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 4349 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record	IAD 12:58	GSO 14:20	19%	7%	3.2%	81%
UA 4849 United flown by CommuteAir no forecast: 12-month record	IAD 22:15	GSO 23:36	20%	8%	2.4%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greensboro on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	IAD 06:00 → ATL 07:43DL 2127	2h 32m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → GSO 11:34DL 3052	5h 34m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	IAD 08:27 → ATL 10:18DL 3080	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 12:49 → GSO 14:04DL 3060	5h 37m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	IAD 10:21 → ATL 12:05DL 1324	2h 10m Atlanta	ATL 14:15 → GSO 15:30DL 2539	5h 09m	98%	88%
American Details →	IAD 06:14 → DFW 08:35AA 2617	57m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:32 → GSO 13:16AA 3886 · flown by Envoy	7h 02m	92%	83%
Delta Details →	IAD 12:37 → ATL 14:28DL 1444	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 16:30 → GSO 17:50DL 3050	5h 13m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	IAD 15:02 → ATL 16:53DL 2135	1h 41m Atlanta	ATL 18:34 → GSO 19:54DL 3017	4h 52m	93%	82%
United Details →	IAD 08:29 → EWR 09:55UA 2396	2h 14m Newark	EWR 12:09 → GSO 13:56UA 4489 · flown by GoJet	5h 27m	99%	77%
Delta Details →	IAD 06:00 → DTW 07:35DL 3826 · flown by SkyWest	1h 19m Detroit	DTW 08:54 → GSO 10:41DL 4966 · flown by Endeavor	4h 41m	93%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON