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Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: United via Denver, leaving 05:15, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Jackson on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h behind Houston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:15 → DEN 06:47UA 1874 1h 16m Denver DEN 08:03 → JAC 09:42UA 5730 · flown by SkyWest 5h 27m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → IAH 07:35 → SLC 09:48DL 1583 1h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282 5h 40m 95% 89%
UnitedDetails → IAH 07:20 → DEN 08:52UA 1575 2h 23m Denver DEN 11:15 → JAC 12:46UA 2193 6h 26m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → IAH 05:04 → ORD 07:59UA 1044 1h 04m Chicago ORD 09:03 → JAC 11:19UA 2176 7h 15m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → IAH 09:32 → DEN 11:08UA 1450 2h 47m Denver DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537 6h 53m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → IAH 06:00 → LAX 07:39UA 417 2h 46m Los Angeles LAX 10:25 → JAC 13:54UA 1041 8h 54m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → IAH 05:02 → DFW 06:19AA 2551 2h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:19 → JAC 10:11AA 1923 6h 09m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → IAH 14:21 → SLC 16:33DL 1532 1h 33m Salt Lake City SLC 18:06 → JAC 19:20DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest 5h 59m 93% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON