tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 3782 SkyWest ICT 07:23 MSP 09:12 5% 3% 0.5% no record
DL 3807 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → ICT 15:49 MSP 17:38 11% 4% 0.5% 86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ICT 06:08 → DEN 06:53UA 5355 · flown by SkyWest 2h 47m Denver DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397 6h 32m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → ICT 05:43 → ATL 08:54DL 2216 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 8h 07m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → ICT 11:11 → ATL 14:26DL 1637 2h 12m Atlanta ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654 7h 07m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → ICT 07:25 → ORD 09:35UA 786 3h 01m Chicago ORD 12:36 → MSP 14:09UA 467 6h 44m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → ICT 13:35 → DEN 14:20UA 5972 · flown by SkyWest 3h 10m Denver DEN 17:30 → MSP 20:36UA 2076 7h 01m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → ICT 06:46 → ORD 08:39AA 4043 · flown by Envoy 3h 11m Chicago ORD 11:50 → MSP 13:25AA 2448 6h 39m 97% 78%
UnitedDetails → ICT 09:01 → IAH 10:56UA 4838 · flown by CommuteAir 3h 39m Houston IAH 14:35 → MSP 17:24UA 1818 8h 23m 100% 77%
UnitedDetails → ICT 10:57 → ORD 13:10UA 5810 · flown by SkyWest 2h 50m Chicago ORD 16:00 → MSP 17:32UA 1935 6h 35m 98% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON