Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 3765 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	IDA 13:01	SLC 14:14	4%	2%	0.5%	92%
DL 2335 Delta Flight history →	IDA 06:00	SLC 07:04	4%	2%	0.5%	90%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	IDA 07:00 → DEN 08:55UA 4706 · flown by SkyWest	2h 45m Denver	DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963	6h 13m	99%	87%
United Details →	IDA 10:35 → DEN 12:28UA 5793 · flown by SkyWest	1h 12m Denver	DEN 13:40 → SLC 15:13UA 1840	4h 38m	95%	80%
American Details →	IDA 07:00 → DFW 11:00AA 6466 · flown by SkyWest	3h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:03 → SLC 15:54AA 1456	8h 54m	97%	75%
Alaska Details →	IDA 06:21 → SEA 07:19AS 3423 · flown by SkyWest	1h 49m Seattle	SEA 09:08 → SLC 12:02AS 661	5h 41m	100%	73%
American Details →	IDA 12:10 → DFW 16:08AA 6468 · flown by SkyWest	1h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:23 → SLC 19:14AA 558	7h 04m	90%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON