Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Southwest via Denver, leaving 06:56, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2137 Delta Flight history →	IND 07:55	SLC 09:26	6%	2%	0.5%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Indianapolis). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	IND 05:55 → ATL 07:30DL 3105	2h 40m Atlanta	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	8h 15m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	IND 06:55 → ATL 08:36DL 3106	3h 20m Atlanta	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	8h 55m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	IND 12:18 → MSP 13:04DL 2456	1h 21m Minneapolis	MSP 14:25 → SLC 16:16DL 2658	5h 58m	98%	88%
Southwest Details →	IND 06:56 → DEN 07:49WN 2787	52m Denver	DEN 08:41 → SLC 10:12WN 3502	5h 16m	93%	88%
United Details →	IND 07:00 → IAH 08:28UA 2358	1h 34m Houston	IAH 10:02 → SLC 12:37UA 2242	7h 37m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	IND 10:07 → ATL 11:43DL 3125	2h 12m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423	7h 44m	100%	86%
United Details →	IND 06:00 → ORD 06:20UA 3479 · flown by Republic	2h 35m Chicago	ORD 08:55 → SLC 11:39UA 1972	7h 39m	99%	85%
American Details →	IND 06:42 → CLT 08:25AA 2938	1h 49m Charlotte	CLT 10:14 → SLC 12:29AA 1895	7h 47m	98%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON