tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: B6 17 at 07:16 is the safest bet, 10% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 26%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 17 JetBlue Flight history → JAX 07:16 FLL 08:49 10% 5% 1.5% 91%
B6 2117 JetBlue Flight history → JAX 13:59 FLL 15:32 26% 14% 2.6% 89%worse than usual

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JAX 05:30 → ATL 06:42DL 2722 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094 4h 29m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → JAX 07:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2450 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 5h 23m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → JAX 06:18 → CLT 07:45AA 1834 3h 05m Charlotte CLT 10:50 → FLL 12:57AA 2585 6h 39m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → JAX 08:17 → ATL 09:34DL 2569 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 5h 03m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → JAX 09:41 → ATL 10:54DL 2328 1h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 4h 46m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → JAX 07:05 → IAH 08:29UA 2453 1h 57m Houston IAH 10:26 → FLL 14:20UA 2670 7h 15m 96% 81%
DeltaDetails → JAX 10:41 → ATL 11:54DL 2326 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413 5h 00m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → JAX 14:50 → ATL 16:06DL 3024 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 7h 06m 99% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → JAX 15:59 → LGA 18:28DL 5461 · flown by Endeavor 1h 01m New York LGA 19:29 → FLL 22:52DL 2308 6h 53m 62% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON