Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2392 at 17:49, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2392 Delta Flight history →	JAX 17:49	MSP 19:59	14%	4%	0.6%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Jacksonville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	JAX 05:30 → ATL 06:42DL 2722	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	5h 48m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	JAX 07:00 → ATL 08:15DL 2450	1h 40m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	5h 30m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	JAX 08:17 → ATL 09:34DL 2569	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 33m	99%	88%
United Details →	JAX 08:09 → DEN 09:55UA 671	3h 47m Denver	DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732	9h 37m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	JAX 09:41 → ATL 10:54DL 2328	3h 37m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	7h 25m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	JAX 10:41 → ATL 11:54DL 2326	3h 44m Atlanta	ATL 15:38 → MSP 17:16DL 2981	7h 35m	100%	85%
American Details →	JAX 06:18 → CLT 07:45AA 1834	57m Charlotte	CLT 08:42 → MSP 10:33AA 2972	5h 15m	92%	84%
Delta Details →	JAX 06:45 → BOS 09:34DL 5632 · flown by Republic	2h 16m Boston	BOS 11:50 → MSP 14:02DL 1103	8h 17m	96%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON