tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5411 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record JFK 22:59 PWM 00:52 19% 8% 8.4% 81%
DL 5399 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record JFK 12:45 PWM 14:19 24% 8% 1.7% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → JFK 06:00 → ATL 08:29DL 2286 1h 51m Atlanta ATL 10:20 → PWM 13:00DL 2479 7h 00m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → JFK 05:59 → CLT 07:57AA 2643 2h 17m Charlotte CLT 10:14 → PWM 12:53AA 1744 6h 54m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → JFK 07:59 → CLT 10:07AA 1444 3h 45m Charlotte CLT 13:52 → PWM 16:31AA 1747 8h 32m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → JFK 06:29 → DCA 07:57AA 4671 · flown by Republic 2h 06m Washington DCA 10:03 → PWM 11:54AA 5528 · flown by PSA 5h 25m 99% 78%
AmericanDetails → JFK 17:00 → CLT 19:30AA 3120 49m Charlotte CLT 20:19 → PWM 22:36AA 2120 5h 36m 76% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON