tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 17–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 206 Southwest LAS 09:12 COS 12:10 17% 3% 0.8% no record
WN 2171 Southwest LAS 12:51 COS 15:49 23% 6% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 3h 22m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 6h 35m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 1h 13m Denver DEN 09:45 → COS 10:46UA 5306 · flown by SkyWest 4h 16m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → LAS 09:37 → DEN 12:41UA 1315 2h 54m Denver DEN 15:35 → COS 16:32UA 5546 · flown by SkyWest 5h 55m 98% 78%
UnitedDetails → LAS 11:58 → DEN 15:16UA 1006 1h 39m Denver DEN 16:55 → COS 17:52UA 5308 · flown by SkyWest 4h 54m 93% 74%
AmericanDetails → LAS 09:44 → DFW 14:31AA 2797 2h 56m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 7h 50m 100% 71%
AmericanDetails → LAS 06:54 → DFW 11:41AA 654 2h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:55 → COS 15:02AA 1170 7h 08m 96% 69%
UnitedDetails → LAS 13:36 → DEN 16:40UA 1323 1h 15m Denver DEN 17:55 → COS 18:54UA 5861 · flown by SkyWest 4h 18m 87% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON