tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2065 Southwest LAS 13:06 EUG 15:18 16% 5% 0.6% no record
G4 14 Allegiant LAS 11:54 EUG 14:08 20% 9% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Eugene on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 2h 33m Salt Lake City SLC 15:02 → EUG 16:02DL 4105 · flown by SkyWest 6h 02m 98% 90%
AlaskaDetails → LAS 16:24 → SEA 18:57AS 749 3h 52m Seattle SEA 22:49 → EUG 23:59AS 2047 · flown by Horizon 7h 35m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 2h 43m Denver DEN 11:15 → EUG 12:57UA 318 7h 27m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:10 → SEA 08:45DL 2844 2h 45m Seattle SEA 11:30 → EUG 12:58DL 4149 · flown by SkyWest 6h 48m 97% 82%
AlaskaDetails → LAS 11:00 → PDX 13:20AS 1467 1h 10m Portland PDX 14:30 → EUG 15:23AS 3042 · flown by SkyWest 4h 23m 93% 82%
AlaskaDetails → LAS 10:28 → SEA 13:14AS 629 2h 36m Seattle SEA 15:50 → EUG 17:00AS 2338 · flown by Horizon 6h 32m 94% 63%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → LAS 12:16 → SEA 15:00AS 676 50m Seattle SEA 15:50 → EUG 17:00AS 2338 · flown by Horizon 4h 44m 59% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON