tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: United via Denver, leaving 05:30, is the safest bet: 83% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 658 JetBlue Flight history → LAS 07:00 FLL 14:56 16% 7% 1.1% 86%
B6 708 JetBlue LAS 11:33 FLL 19:25 33% 12% 1.2% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 00:44 → MSP 05:50DL 2834 3h 00m Minneapolis MSP 08:50 → FLL 13:25DL 673 9h 41m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → LAS 00:56 → IAH 06:01UA 2009 1h 34m Houston IAH 07:35 → FLL 11:22UA 2261 7h 26m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → LAS 00:33 → ATL 07:18DL 857 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 8h 50m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → LAS 00:04 → ORD 05:44UA 2102 1h 16m Chicago ORD 07:00 → FLL 11:13UA 1421 8h 09m 93% 83%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 1h 14m Denver DEN 09:46 → FLL 15:46UA 1214 7h 16m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:00 → SLC 08:19DL 2674 2h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745 8h 28m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → LAS 09:37 → DEN 12:41UA 1315 3h 23m Denver DEN 16:04 → FLL 22:07UA 1374 9h 30m 98% 81%
UnitedDetails → LAS 06:00 → IAH 11:11UA 2608 1h 00m Houston IAH 12:11 → FLL 16:01UA 1982 7h 01m 96% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON