tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: WN 2061 at 09:16 is the safest bet, 13% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 30%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2061 Southwest LAS 09:16 GEG 11:42 13% 3% 0.8% no record
G4 59 Allegiant LAS 13:11 GEG 15:39 30% 11% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:00 → SLC 08:19DL 2674 3h 11m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452 6h 12m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → LAS 05:30 → DEN 08:32UA 596 2h 43m Denver DEN 11:15 → GEG 12:37UA 295 7h 07m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAS 11:09 → SEA 14:00DL 2922 3h 59m Seattle SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest 8h 06m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 2h 56m Salt Lake City SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503 6h 08m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → LAS 09:48 → LAX 11:00DL 2253 2h 00m Los Angeles LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest 5h 47m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → LAS 06:19 → MSP 11:22DL 1282 57m Minneapolis MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437 7h 02m 93% 84%
AlaskaDetails → LAS 06:02 → SEA 08:34AS 741 1h 21m Seattle SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon 4h 58m 92% 83%
AmericanDetails → LAS 06:45 → PHX 08:00AA 1808 2h 22m Phoenix PHX 10:22 → GEG 13:21AA 540 6h 36m 97% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
AlaskaDetails → LAS 08:00 → SEA 10:33AS 701 1h 00m Seattle SEA 11:33 → GEG 12:38AS 454 4h 38m 74% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON