Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 379 at 10:20, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 379 Delta Flight history →	LGA 10:20	RSW 13:17	18%	5%	2.2%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 550	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153	6h 11m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	LGA 08:00 → ATL 10:29DL 364	2h 24m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196	6h 35m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	LGA 06:00 → MSP 07:53DL 2510	1h 12m Minneapolis	MSP 09:05 → RSW 13:27DL 2400	7h 27m	96%	84%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:00 → ATL 11:32DL 992	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 14:59 → RSW 16:44DL 1379	7h 44m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	LGA 07:55 → MSP 09:53DL 2473	2h 59m Minneapolis	MSP 12:52 → RSW 17:19DL 2219	9h 24m	98%	83%
United Details →	LGA 06:10 → ORD 07:49UA 2389	3h 02m Chicago	ORD 10:51 → RSW 14:48UA 2137	8h 38m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	3h 04m Detroit	DTW 14:28 → RSW 17:22DL 1225	7h 57m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	LGA 10:59 → ATL 13:20DL 993	3h 47m Atlanta	ATL 17:07 → RSW 18:55DL 1124	7h 56m	99%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON