Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 2679 at 10:16, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2679 Southwest	MCI 10:16	MKE 11:56	4%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MCI 05:39 → ATL 08:43DL 1204	2h 08m Atlanta	ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151	6h 14m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	MCI 06:23 → MSP 07:54DL 1635	2h 11m Minneapolis	MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561	4h 54m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MCI 07:00 → ATL 10:03DL 1212	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246	6h 50m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MCI 09:13 → MSP 10:50DL 4867 · flown by Endeavor	3h 04m Minneapolis	MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006	5h 56m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	MCI 08:00 → ATL 11:01DL 3110	3h 04m Atlanta	ATL 14:05 → MKE 15:04DL 2152	7h 04m	99%	89%
United Details →	MCI 06:00 → DEN 06:56UA 355	3h 01m Denver	DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:24UA 1836	7h 24m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	MCI 10:43 → ATL 13:47DL 2471	2h 50m Atlanta	ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206	6h 57m	99%	86%
American Details →	MCI 06:00 → PHL 09:45AA 946	1h 49m Philadelphia	PHL 11:34 → MKE 13:01AA 5474 · flown by PSA	7h 01m	98%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON