Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 24–28% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 4983 Southwest	MCO 20:36	ALB 23:43	24%	8%	0.9%	no record
B6 2919 JetBlue Flight history →	MCO 15:56	ALB 19:05	28%	15%	1.6%	65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	MCO 08:51 → BWI 11:22WN 2693	1h 36m Baltimore	BWI 12:58 → ALB 14:27WN 4880	5h 36m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:05DL 1548	1h 58m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	5h 52m	99%	90%
American Details →	MCO 06:58 → CLT 08:50AA 1647	1h 34m Charlotte	CLT 10:24 → ALB 12:46AA 710	5h 48m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	MCO 09:02 → DTW 11:45DL 2845	2h 52m Detroit	DTW 14:37 → ALB 16:20DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	7h 18m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	MCO 06:05 → DTW 08:54DL 1201	1h 51m Detroit	DTW 10:45 → ALB 12:28DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	6h 23m	99%	87%
American Details →	MCO 07:28 → PHL 10:05AA 1228	3h 00m Philadelphia	PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont	7h 03m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	MCO 10:05 → ATL 11:41DL 2204	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:46DL 1241	7h 41m	99%	83%
American Details →	MCO 09:01 → CLT 10:54AA 609	3h 20m Charlotte	CLT 14:14 → ALB 16:36AA 1075	7h 35m	99%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON