tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1679 Southwest MCO 08:01 SAT 09:51 4% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 359 Southwest MCO 13:53 SAT 15:42 12% 4% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Antonio on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Orlando). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:05DL 1548 1h 15m Atlanta ATL 08:20 → SAT 09:43DL 1676 5h 13m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → MCO 07:05 → ATL 08:46DL 2080 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 12:15 → SAT 13:38DL 1408 7h 33m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → MCO 08:51 → BWI 11:22WN 2693 2h 34m Baltimore BWI 13:56 → SAT 16:24WN 1152 8h 33m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → MCO 09:05 → ATL 10:45DL 1505 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → SAT 15:10DL 2009 7h 05m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → MCO 10:00 → DEN 12:00UA 1022 1h 44m Denver DEN 13:44 → SAT 16:55UA 1022 7h 55m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → MCO 10:05 → ATL 11:41DL 2204 3h 59m Atlanta ATL 15:40 → SAT 17:11DL 1465 8h 06m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCO 09:10 → IAH 10:45UA 2611 4h 00m Houston IAH 14:45 → SAT 15:56UA 2030 7h 46m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → MCO 07:00 → IAH 08:35UA 468 1h 00m Houston IAH 09:35 → SAT 10:47UA 1371 4h 47m 94% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MCO 15:41 → DFW 17:35AA 1737 52m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:27 → SAT 19:48AA 2368 5h 07m 67% 48%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON