tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 19–28% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2656 JetBlue Flight history → MCO 12:46 SYR 15:45 19% 7% 0.9% 81%
B6 1656 JetBlue MCO 16:35 SYR 19:34 28% 12% 3.0% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MCO 05:30 → ATL 07:05DL 1548 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 09:15 → SYR 11:25DL 1375 5h 55m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MCO 07:05 → ATL 08:46DL 2080 3h 51m Atlanta ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991 7h 43m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → MCO 07:28 → PHL 10:05AA 1228 3h 07m Philadelphia PHL 13:12 → SYR 14:34AA 5924 · flown by Piedmont 7h 06m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → MCO 11:05 → ATL 12:42DL 1213 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690 6h 54m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → MCO 06:58 → CLT 08:50AA 1647 1h 49m Charlotte CLT 10:39 → SYR 12:42AA 2730 5h 44m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → MCO 08:12 → CLT 10:02AA 461 3h 48m Charlotte CLT 13:50 → SYR 15:54AA 1950 7h 42m 100% 81%
UnitedDetails → MCO 09:08 → ORD 11:19UA 2466 2h 36m Chicago ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343 7h 40m 99% 77%
UnitedDetails → MCO 12:34 → ORD 14:42UA 2475 3h 27m Chicago ORD 18:09 → SYR 21:09UA 2481 8h 35m 98% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON